Polymarket calendar · Saturday
Polymarket Markets Resolving May 16 2026
Every active Polymarket market scheduled to settle on May 16 2026, ranked by 24-hour volume. Live odds, intra-market spreads, and the arbitrage edges PolyArb's bot is scanning right now — so you can spot YES + NO mispricings before UMA closes them.
97 active markets$1,760,220 24h volumeUpdated every 30 minutes
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $120,994Liq $763,712
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $86,188Liq $606,613
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $79,706Liq $764,545
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $77,225Liq $355,785
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $73,358Liq $830,216
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $72,207Liq $666,719
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $71,657Liq $215,085
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $65,629Liq $684,371
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $64,709Liq $116,270
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $61,316Liq $699,046
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $58,608Liq $86,332
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $57,375Liq $405,968
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $56,213Liq $545,531
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $53,471Liq $862,373
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $53,254Liq $411,538
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $51,325Liq $949,210
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $50,443Liq $604,192
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $44,819Liq $446,350
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $43,939Liq $193,649
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $42,991Liq $519,146
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $42,922Liq $788,634
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $38,131Liq $591,102
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $36,743Liq $315,456
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $31,264Liq $226,173
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $30,102Liq $372,975
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $28,060Liq $148,497
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $24,221Liq $117,514
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $23,869Liq $105,792
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $20,300Liq $169,470
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $20,205Liq $92,246
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $20,200Liq $260,426
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $17,981Liq $94,746
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $14,613Liq $492,887
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $12,960Liq $237,604
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $6,176Liq $5,020
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $5,152Liq $14,510
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $4,920Liq $242,354
Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $4,789Liq $12,723
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $3,779Liq $12,940
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $3,707Liq $13,603
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $3,247Liq $19,610
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $3,203Liq $10,465
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,791Liq $3,016
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,619Liq $9,513
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,577Liq $13,401
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,432Liq $12,405
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,411Liq $24,960
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,341Liq $6,501
Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,225Liq $14,696
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,222Liq $17,149
Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,122Liq $21,194
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,100Liq $12,035
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $2,014Liq $11,696
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,887Liq $11,413
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,837Liq $21,565
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,776Liq $14,943
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,750Liq $18,242
Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,742Liq $18,940
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,671Liq $11,386
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,649Liq $25,943
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,635Liq $18,594
Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,574Liq $24,321
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,574Liq $17,920
Will Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,574Liq $23,784
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,574Liq $19,929
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $26,156
Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $25,418
Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $20,384
Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $22,911
Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $24,833
Will Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $25,225
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $25,320
Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $17,436
Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,573Liq $20,121
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,524Liq $18,978
Will San Marino be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,411Liq $24,759
Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,411Liq $21,543
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,409Liq $39,632
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,290Liq $8,642
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $1,015Liq $5,829
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $828Liq $9,062
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $774Liq $6,425
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $760Liq $19,791
Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $744Liq $27,160
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $673Liq $4,970
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $667Liq $20,570
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $561Liq $5,405
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $546Liq $9,400
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $529Liq $10,896
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $513Liq $7,093
Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $500Liq $23,663
Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $491Liq $23,581
Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $481Liq $19,734
Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $480Liq $6,839
Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $479Liq $828
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $468Liq $7,777
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends in 14d
100.0%
24h vol $438Liq $5,630
Catch every arb on May 16 2026 — before it settles
PolyArb scans every market resolving on May 16 2026 every few seconds. The instant a YES + NO spread clears the $7.62 edge floor, you get a Telegram and Discord alert with sizing — and the autonomous AI agent can take the trade for you.
Trading Polymarket markets that resolve on May 16 2026
Saturday, May 16 2026 is a busy day on Polymarket. 97 active markets are scheduled to settle, with $1,760,220 traded across them in the last 24 hours. Markets near their resolution date often see compressed spreads — the closer to UMA settlement, the more the YES + NO sum should converge to $1. That convergence creates the highest-frequency intra-market arbitrage opportunities on the platform.
The PolyArb bot uses a 40ms median latency loop (vs ~800ms for free competitor bots) to fire on every YES + NO mispricing the moment the order book ticks. Every signal we send is filtered by a hard floor: at least $7.62 net edge per trade after Polymarket's 2% taker fee, sized for $1,000 of capital. If you're trading from your own bankroll, the bot scales the suggestion using bankroll-aware Kelly sizing with a 2% per-leg cap.
For traders new to Polymarket, the playbook on resolution day is straightforward: scan the markets listed above, look for any binary contract where YES + NO sums to less than $0.98 (giving you a margin of safety after fees), execute both legs as fill-or-kill taker orders, and let UMA settle. The autonomous AI agent on the $199/mo plan handles the entire loop for you and posts a 2.7× guaranteed profit multiplier vs. manual trading.
FAQ
- What does it mean for a Polymarket market to "resolve" on May 16 2026?
- A Polymarket market resolves on May 16 2026 when its underlying real-world question is settled by the UMA optimistic oracle on that calendar day (UTC). Until resolution, YES and NO shares trade between $0 and $1; on the resolution date the winning side pays out at $1 and the losing side at $0. PolyArb tracks every market resolving on May 16 2026 so you can scan for last-minute arbitrage edges before settlement.
- How do I find arbitrage on Polymarket markets resolving May 16 2026?
- The simplest arbitrage signal is when YES + NO prices on the same Polymarket binary contract sum to less than $1 (after Polymarket's 2% taker fee). PolyArb's bot scans every market resolving on May 16 2026 every few seconds, fires Telegram and Discord alerts when net edge clears $7.62 per $1,000 of capital, and ranks the highest-volume opportunities first.
- How many markets resolve on May 16 2026?
- 97 active Polymarket markets are scheduled to resolve on May 16 2026, with combined 24-hour trading volume of $1,760,220. The list updates every 30 minutes — markets can be added or removed by the Polymarket team or by event reschedules.
- Is it safe to trade Polymarket markets close to resolution?
- Markets near their resolution date often have tighter liquidity but also more predictable outcomes — making them prime targets for combinatorial and intra-market arbitrage. PolyArb's bot accounts for fee drag, slippage on each leg, and the UMA settlement window when ranking opportunities. Always size with Kelly and keep at least one outcome cap per leg.