Polymarket market analysis
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Summary
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? The market resolves on May 16, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.