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Polymarket calendar · Tuesday

Polymarket Markets Resolving May 5 2026

Every active Polymarket market scheduled to settle on May 5 2026, ranked by 24-hour volume. Live odds, intra-market spreads, and the arbitrage edges PolyArb's bot is scanning right now — so you can spot YES + NO mispricings before UMA closes them.

99 active markets$1,626,323 24h volumeUpdated every 30 minutes

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $338,169Liq $85,789

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $165,831Liq $41,549

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $133,561Liq $79,944

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $117,732Liq $48,946

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $102,321Liq $55,770

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $98,690Liq $46,859

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $83,126Liq $37,223

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $49,937Liq $33,684

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $45,539Liq $33,168

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $44,064Liq $130,119

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $40,490Liq $30,189

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $35,896Liq $45,347

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $33,241Liq $96,256

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $28,920Liq $39,317

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $27,608Liq $33,285

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $27,480Liq $981

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $25,187Liq $34,568

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $22,545Liq $39,446

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $19,119Liq $32,021

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $16,597Liq $45,070

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $16,050Liq $42,954

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $15,794Liq $14,747

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $15,677Liq $16,599

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $10,733Liq $72,922

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $9,011Liq $603

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $6,124Liq $3,213

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $5,546Liq $1,748

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $5,212Liq $61,965

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $4,922Liq $12,189

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $4,898Liq $2,986

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $4,792Liq $14,800

Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $4,391Liq $1,399

Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $3,729Liq $6,712

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $3,122Liq $14,221

Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $2,873Liq $2,000

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $2,675Liq $638

Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $2,549Liq $73,143

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $2,426Liq $536

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,906Liq $716

Will "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,903Liq $864

Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,816Liq $12,090

Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,717Liq $8,884

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $1,713Liq $7,151

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,600Liq $655

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,540Liq $3,941

Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,460Liq $478

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,456Liq $815

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,323Liq $14,081

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,271Liq $1,311

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,267Liq $16,329

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,253Liq $76,609

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,232Liq $1,852

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,149Liq $9,542

Will "Million Dollar Secret: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,118Liq $1,915

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $1,104Liq $10,320

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,091Liq $528

Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,072Liq $3,680

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,000Liq $39,858

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $991Liq $568

Will White House post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $943Liq $311

Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $937Liq $428

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $908Liq $3,283

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $818Liq $484

Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $795Liq $1,622

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $790Liq $11,520

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $788Liq $8,418

Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $783Liq $17,953

Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $772Liq $1,592

Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $696Liq $607

Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $660Liq $1,795

Will CZ post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $588Liq $2,635

Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $555Liq $3,830

Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $551Liq $1,845

Will "Hulk Hogan: Real American" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $541Liq $1,899

Will CZ post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $532Liq $2,730

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $500Liq $67,270

Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $489Liq $306

Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $462Liq $531

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $444Liq $3,712

Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $441Liq $1,159

Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $438Liq $942

Will CZ post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $423Liq $2,624

Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $415Liq $2,697

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $411Liq $5,689

Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $405Liq $249

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $393Liq $8,987

Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $392Liq $206

Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends in 4d
100.0%
24h vol $380Liq $370

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $370Liq $580

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $343Liq $203

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $334Liq $71,692

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $334Liq $96,192

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $334Liq $88,127

Will "Unchosen" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $318Liq $381

Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $311Liq $3,246

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $304Liq $3,307

Will Wayne Kinsel be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $289Liq $3,790

Will Anthony Campbell be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $289Liq $3,907

Will Jacob Frost be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $289Liq $3,852

Catch every arb on May 5 2026 — before it settles

PolyArb scans every market resolving on May 5 2026 every few seconds. The instant a YES + NO spread clears the $7.62 edge floor, you get a Telegram and Discord alert with sizing — and the autonomous AI agent can take the trade for you.

Trading Polymarket markets that resolve on May 5 2026

Tuesday, May 5 2026 is a busy day on Polymarket. 99 active markets are scheduled to settle, with $1,626,323 traded across them in the last 24 hours. Markets near their resolution date often see compressed spreads — the closer to UMA settlement, the more the YES + NO sum should converge to $1. That convergence creates the highest-frequency intra-market arbitrage opportunities on the platform.

The PolyArb bot uses a 40ms median latency loop (vs ~800ms for free competitor bots) to fire on every YES + NO mispricing the moment the order book ticks. Every signal we send is filtered by a hard floor: at least $7.62 net edge per trade after Polymarket's 2% taker fee, sized for $1,000 of capital. If you're trading from your own bankroll, the bot scales the suggestion using bankroll-aware Kelly sizing with a 2% per-leg cap.

For traders new to Polymarket, the playbook on resolution day is straightforward: scan the markets listed above, look for any binary contract where YES + NO sums to less than $0.98 (giving you a margin of safety after fees), execute both legs as fill-or-kill taker orders, and let UMA settle. The autonomous AI agent on the $199/mo plan handles the entire loop for you and posts a 2.7× guaranteed profit multiplier vs. manual trading.

FAQ

What does it mean for a Polymarket market to "resolve" on May 5 2026?
A Polymarket market resolves on May 5 2026 when its underlying real-world question is settled by the UMA optimistic oracle on that calendar day (UTC). Until resolution, YES and NO shares trade between $0 and $1; on the resolution date the winning side pays out at $1 and the losing side at $0. PolyArb tracks every market resolving on May 5 2026 so you can scan for last-minute arbitrage edges before settlement.
How do I find arbitrage on Polymarket markets resolving May 5 2026?
The simplest arbitrage signal is when YES + NO prices on the same Polymarket binary contract sum to less than $1 (after Polymarket's 2% taker fee). PolyArb's bot scans every market resolving on May 5 2026 every few seconds, fires Telegram and Discord alerts when net edge clears $7.62 per $1,000 of capital, and ranks the highest-volume opportunities first.
How many markets resolve on May 5 2026?
99 active Polymarket markets are scheduled to resolve on May 5 2026, with combined 24-hour trading volume of $1,626,323. The list updates every 30 minutes — markets can be added or removed by the Polymarket team or by event reschedules.
Is it safe to trade Polymarket markets close to resolution?
Markets near their resolution date often have tighter liquidity but also more predictable outcomes — making them prime targets for combinatorial and intra-market arbitrage. PolyArb's bot accounts for fee drag, slippage on each leg, and the UMA settlement window when ranking opportunities. Always size with Kelly and keep at least one outcome cap per leg.
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