Polymarket calendar · Monday
Polymarket Markets Resolving May 4 2026
Every active Polymarket market scheduled to settle on May 4 2026, ranked by 24-hour volume. Live odds, intra-market spreads, and the arbitrage edges PolyArb's bot is scanning right now — so you can spot YES + NO mispricings before UMA closes them.
87 active markets$890,954 24h volumeUpdated every 30 minutes
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $83,130Liq $146,148
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $82,286Liq $27,547
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $81,050Liq $48,781
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $46,365Liq $15,768
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $42,589Liq $45,084
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $33,688Liq $43,415
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $27,829Liq $18,238
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $24,728Liq $17,085
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $22,507Liq $15,548
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $21,577Liq $19,487
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $21,574Liq $17,023
Will XRP reach $2.10 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $18,895Liq $6,867
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $17,963Liq $13,057
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $16,120Liq $15,157
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $15,964Liq $5,034
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $15,334Liq $3,786
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $14,950Liq $12,910
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $14,921Liq $50,015
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $13,652Liq $15,533
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $12,850Liq $6,890
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $12,076Liq $8,491
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $9,955Liq $605,958
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $9,591Liq $5,996
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $8,946Liq $5,872
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $8,221Liq $35,597
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $7,967Liq $11,919
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $7,967Liq $12,958
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $7,892Liq $3,809
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $7,818Liq $17,824
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $7,244Liq $3,359
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $7,098Liq $14,338
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $7,053Liq $567,142
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $6,535Liq $4,698
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $6,492Liq $556,524
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $6,377Liq $3,959
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $6,166Liq $12,819
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $6,046Liq $13,000
Will XRP reach $1.50 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $5,616Liq $7,261
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $5,416Liq $11,078
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $5,179Liq $1,910
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $5,065Liq $16,375
Will XRP dip to $0.90 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $4,814Liq $8,541
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $4,380Liq $8,866
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $4,378Liq $27,207
Will Solana dip to $80 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $4,124Liq $7,849
Will XRP dip to $1.30 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $4,109Liq $7,069
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $4,092Liq $10,949
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,904Liq $16,182
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,845Liq $3,077
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,792Liq $10,761
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,494Liq $15,389
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,483Liq $15,491
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,431Liq $7,996
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,428Liq $9,695
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,174Liq $3,848
Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $3,126Liq $1,951
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,839Liq $7,938
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,791Liq $15,678
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,677Liq $8,674
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,461Liq $8,899
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,360Liq $6,576
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,252Liq $12,497
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,146Liq $10,758
Will "Hokum" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,099Liq $1,318
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $2,057Liq $20,013
Will XRP dip to $1.00 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,958Liq $9,824
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,791Liq $13,738
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,762Liq $2,654
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,645Liq $3,159
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,622Liq $3,288
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,595Liq $13,247
Will Solana dip to $50 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,548Liq $8,482
Will XRP reach $1.80 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,515Liq $6,280
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,471Liq $31,155
Will Solana dip to $70 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,379Liq $6,288
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $1,168Liq $1,412
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,145Liq $13,367
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,138Liq $7,971
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,130Liq $12,135
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,084Liq $4,542
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,083Liq $10,942
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,083Liq $9,923
Will XRP reach $1.70 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,069Liq $5,353
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $1,034Liq $4,861
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)
Ends in 3d
100.0%
24h vol $985Liq $1,337
Will Solana dip to $30 April 27-May 3?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $922Liq $9,702
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 4?
Ends in 2d
100.0%
24h vol $882Liq $9,889
Catch every arb on May 4 2026 — before it settles
PolyArb scans every market resolving on May 4 2026 every few seconds. The instant a YES + NO spread clears the $7.62 edge floor, you get a Telegram and Discord alert with sizing — and the autonomous AI agent can take the trade for you.
Trading Polymarket markets that resolve on May 4 2026
Monday, May 4 2026 is a busy day on Polymarket. 87 active markets are scheduled to settle, with $890,954 traded across them in the last 24 hours. Markets near their resolution date often see compressed spreads — the closer to UMA settlement, the more the YES + NO sum should converge to $1. That convergence creates the highest-frequency intra-market arbitrage opportunities on the platform.
The PolyArb bot uses a 40ms median latency loop (vs ~800ms for free competitor bots) to fire on every YES + NO mispricing the moment the order book ticks. Every signal we send is filtered by a hard floor: at least $7.62 net edge per trade after Polymarket's 2% taker fee, sized for $1,000 of capital. If you're trading from your own bankroll, the bot scales the suggestion using bankroll-aware Kelly sizing with a 2% per-leg cap.
For traders new to Polymarket, the playbook on resolution day is straightforward: scan the markets listed above, look for any binary contract where YES + NO sums to less than $0.98 (giving you a margin of safety after fees), execute both legs as fill-or-kill taker orders, and let UMA settle. The autonomous AI agent on the $199/mo plan handles the entire loop for you and posts a 2.7× guaranteed profit multiplier vs. manual trading.
FAQ
- What does it mean for a Polymarket market to "resolve" on May 4 2026?
- A Polymarket market resolves on May 4 2026 when its underlying real-world question is settled by the UMA optimistic oracle on that calendar day (UTC). Until resolution, YES and NO shares trade between $0 and $1; on the resolution date the winning side pays out at $1 and the losing side at $0. PolyArb tracks every market resolving on May 4 2026 so you can scan for last-minute arbitrage edges before settlement.
- How do I find arbitrage on Polymarket markets resolving May 4 2026?
- The simplest arbitrage signal is when YES + NO prices on the same Polymarket binary contract sum to less than $1 (after Polymarket's 2% taker fee). PolyArb's bot scans every market resolving on May 4 2026 every few seconds, fires Telegram and Discord alerts when net edge clears $7.62 per $1,000 of capital, and ranks the highest-volume opportunities first.
- How many markets resolve on May 4 2026?
- 87 active Polymarket markets are scheduled to resolve on May 4 2026, with combined 24-hour trading volume of $890,954. The list updates every 30 minutes — markets can be added or removed by the Polymarket team or by event reschedules.
- Is it safe to trade Polymarket markets close to resolution?
- Markets near their resolution date often have tighter liquidity but also more predictable outcomes — making them prime targets for combinatorial and intra-market arbitrage. PolyArb's bot accounts for fee drag, slippage on each leg, and the UMA settlement window when ranking opportunities. Always size with Kelly and keep at least one outcome cap per leg.