Polymarket calendar · Thursday
Polymarket Markets Resolving April 30 2026
Every active Polymarket market scheduled to settle on April 30 2026, ranked by 24-hour volume. Live odds, intra-market spreads, and the arbitrage edges PolyArb's bot is scanning right now — so you can spot YES + NO mispricings before UMA closes them.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on April 30?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?
US bank failure by April 30?
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on April 30?
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Will President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in April?
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?
Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on April 30?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on April 30?
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on April 30?
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 30?
Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?
Will Hong Kong have between 170-180mm of precipitation in April?
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?
Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?
Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Catch every arb on April 30 2026 — before it settles
PolyArb scans every market resolving on April 30 2026 every few seconds. The instant a YES + NO spread clears the $7.62 edge floor, you get a Telegram and Discord alert with sizing — and the autonomous AI agent can take the trade for you.
Trading Polymarket markets that resolve on April 30 2026
Thursday, April 30 2026 is a busy day on Polymarket. 55 active markets are scheduled to settle, with $2,150,931 traded across them in the last 24 hours. Markets near their resolution date often see compressed spreads — the closer to UMA settlement, the more the YES + NO sum should converge to $1. That convergence creates the highest-frequency intra-market arbitrage opportunities on the platform.
The PolyArb bot uses a 40ms median latency loop (vs ~800ms for free competitor bots) to fire on every YES + NO mispricing the moment the order book ticks. Every signal we send is filtered by a hard floor: at least $7.62 net edge per trade after Polymarket's 2% taker fee, sized for $1,000 of capital. If you're trading from your own bankroll, the bot scales the suggestion using bankroll-aware Kelly sizing with a 2% per-leg cap.
For traders new to Polymarket, the playbook on resolution day is straightforward: scan the markets listed above, look for any binary contract where YES + NO sums to less than $0.98 (giving you a margin of safety after fees), execute both legs as fill-or-kill taker orders, and let UMA settle. The autonomous AI agent on the $199/mo plan handles the entire loop for you and posts a 2.7× guaranteed profit multiplier vs. manual trading.
FAQ
- What does it mean for a Polymarket market to "resolve" on April 30 2026?
- A Polymarket market resolves on April 30 2026 when its underlying real-world question is settled by the UMA optimistic oracle on that calendar day (UTC). Until resolution, YES and NO shares trade between $0 and $1; on the resolution date the winning side pays out at $1 and the losing side at $0. PolyArb tracks every market resolving on April 30 2026 so you can scan for last-minute arbitrage edges before settlement.
- How do I find arbitrage on Polymarket markets resolving April 30 2026?
- The simplest arbitrage signal is when YES + NO prices on the same Polymarket binary contract sum to less than $1 (after Polymarket's 2% taker fee). PolyArb's bot scans every market resolving on April 30 2026 every few seconds, fires Telegram and Discord alerts when net edge clears $7.62 per $1,000 of capital, and ranks the highest-volume opportunities first.
- How many markets resolve on April 30 2026?
- 55 active Polymarket markets are scheduled to resolve on April 30 2026, with combined 24-hour trading volume of $2,150,931. The list updates every 30 minutes — markets can be added or removed by the Polymarket team or by event reschedules.
- Is it safe to trade Polymarket markets close to resolution?
- Markets near their resolution date often have tighter liquidity but also more predictable outcomes — making them prime targets for combinatorial and intra-market arbitrage. PolyArb's bot accounts for fee drag, slippage on each leg, and the UMA settlement window when ranking opportunities. Always size with Kelly and keep at least one outcome cap per leg.