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Polymarket market analysis

Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?

No edge
Ends Jul 1, 2026
24h Volume
Liquidity
$11
Outcomes
2

Summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves PARIVISION's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of PARIVISION" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/12467/parivision#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Jame, BELCHONOKK, xiELO, nota, and zweih. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

OutcomeBest ask
Yes48.0%
No52.0%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?
Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.