Polymarket market analysis
Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?
Summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.6% |
| No | 98.4% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Will James Comey leave the country by May 15? The market resolves on May 15, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.