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Polymarket market analysis

Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

No edge
Ends Jun 2, 2026
24h Volume
$140
Liquidity
$7,099
Outcomes
2

Summary

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

OutcomeBest ask
Yes1.8%
No98.3%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?
Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.