What is this market about?

UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims) The market resolves on May 3, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.

How does intra-market arbitrage work here?

If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.

Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.

Polymarket market analysis

UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)

No edge

Ends May 3, 2026

24h Volume

$53,648

Liquidity

$46,236

Outcomes

Summary

This market will resolve to "Vince Morales" if Vince Morales is officially declared the winner of the fight against Colby Thicknesse at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

Outcome	Best ask
Vince Morales	44.5%
Colby Thicknesse	55.5%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?: UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims) The market resolves on May 3, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?: If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?: Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.