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Polymarket calendar · Thursday

Polymarket Markets Resolving May 14 2026

Every active Polymarket market scheduled to settle on May 14 2026, ranked by 24-hour volume. Live odds, intra-market spreads, and the arbitrage edges PolyArb's bot is scanning right now — so you can spot YES + NO mispricings before UMA closes them.

49 active markets$46,053 24h volumeUpdated every 30 minutes

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $32,320Liq $119,664

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $3,999Liq $12,425

Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $2,275Liq $9,014

Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $1,902Liq $9,104

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $1,395Liq $2,768

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $778Liq $3,148

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $510Liq $7,159

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $469Liq $1,167

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $328Liq $853

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $288Liq $3,868

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $283Liq $7,009

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $200Liq $1,383

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be 4.0% or higher?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $186Liq $549

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.8%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $150Liq $1,333

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $131Liq $1,033

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $127Liq $243

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $123Liq $388

Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $90Liq $2,183

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.8%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $62Liq $1,610

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $60Liq $80

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $54Liq $9,814

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $43Liq $3,242

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?

Ends in 12d
0.05% edge
24h vol $41Liq $452

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $38Liq $2,790

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $34Liq $1,039

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $33Liq $3,931

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $30Liq $1,444

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $20Liq $68

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
24h vol $18Liq $41

Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-14?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
24h vol $10Liq $292

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
24h vol $10Liq $280

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
24h vol $10Liq $263

LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends in 13d
100.0%
24h vol $9Liq $8,548

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
24h vol $9Liq $42

Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $5Liq $2,073

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $5Liq $65

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
24h vol $5Liq $39

Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends in 12d
100.0%
24h vol $1Liq $1,914

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Barra FC: O/U 1.5

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $248

Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Barra FC end in a draw?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $246

Will Barra FC win on 2026-05-14?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $252

Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $110

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Barra FC: O/U 2.5

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $153

Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $181

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $97

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $97

Spread: Barra FC (-2.5)

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $117

Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $156

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Ends in 13d
100.0%
Liq $25

Catch every arb on May 14 2026 — before it settles

PolyArb scans every market resolving on May 14 2026 every few seconds. The instant a YES + NO spread clears the $7.62 edge floor, you get a Telegram and Discord alert with sizing — and the autonomous AI agent can take the trade for you.

Trading Polymarket markets that resolve on May 14 2026

Thursday, May 14 2026 is a busy day on Polymarket. 49 active markets are scheduled to settle, with $46,053 traded across them in the last 24 hours. Markets near their resolution date often see compressed spreads — the closer to UMA settlement, the more the YES + NO sum should converge to $1. That convergence creates the highest-frequency intra-market arbitrage opportunities on the platform.

The PolyArb bot uses a 40ms median latency loop (vs ~800ms for free competitor bots) to fire on every YES + NO mispricing the moment the order book ticks. Every signal we send is filtered by a hard floor: at least $7.62 net edge per trade after Polymarket's 2% taker fee, sized for $1,000 of capital. If you're trading from your own bankroll, the bot scales the suggestion using bankroll-aware Kelly sizing with a 2% per-leg cap.

For traders new to Polymarket, the playbook on resolution day is straightforward: scan the markets listed above, look for any binary contract where YES + NO sums to less than $0.98 (giving you a margin of safety after fees), execute both legs as fill-or-kill taker orders, and let UMA settle. The autonomous AI agent on the $199/mo plan handles the entire loop for you and posts a 2.7× guaranteed profit multiplier vs. manual trading.

FAQ

What does it mean for a Polymarket market to "resolve" on May 14 2026?
A Polymarket market resolves on May 14 2026 when its underlying real-world question is settled by the UMA optimistic oracle on that calendar day (UTC). Until resolution, YES and NO shares trade between $0 and $1; on the resolution date the winning side pays out at $1 and the losing side at $0. PolyArb tracks every market resolving on May 14 2026 so you can scan for last-minute arbitrage edges before settlement.
How do I find arbitrage on Polymarket markets resolving May 14 2026?
The simplest arbitrage signal is when YES + NO prices on the same Polymarket binary contract sum to less than $1 (after Polymarket's 2% taker fee). PolyArb's bot scans every market resolving on May 14 2026 every few seconds, fires Telegram and Discord alerts when net edge clears $7.62 per $1,000 of capital, and ranks the highest-volume opportunities first.
How many markets resolve on May 14 2026?
49 active Polymarket markets are scheduled to resolve on May 14 2026, with combined 24-hour trading volume of $46,053. The list updates every 30 minutes — markets can be added or removed by the Polymarket team or by event reschedules.
Is it safe to trade Polymarket markets close to resolution?
Markets near their resolution date often have tighter liquidity but also more predictable outcomes — making them prime targets for combinatorial and intra-market arbitrage. PolyArb's bot accounts for fee drag, slippage on each leg, and the UMA settlement window when ranking opportunities. Always size with Kelly and keep at least one outcome cap per leg.
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