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Polymarket market analysis

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No edge
Ends Jul 1, 2026
24h Volume
$4,879
Liquidity
$116,594
Outcomes
2

Summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

OutcomeBest ask
Yes2.0%
No98.1%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?
Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.