Polymarket market analysis
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
No edge
Ends Jul 1, 202624h Volume
$4,879
Liquidity
$116,594
Outcomes
2
Summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.0% |
| No | 98.1% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.