Polymarket market analysis
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils
Summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Arthur Fils in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 100.0% |
| Arthur Fils | 0.1% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils The market resolves on May 8, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.